Long Range Forecast: 'Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit', 'Ride Along, 'Devil's Due', & 'The Nut Job'
Featured Stories - on November 22, 2013 by BoxOffice Staff
Four films join our forecast this week as our first look at January 2014's releases continues.
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit
- The Jack Ryan franchise has enjoyed a handful of hits in the past.
- Chris Pine brings a familiar name and face to the franchise reboot.
- Director Kenneth Branagh proved that he can handle tentpoles after successfully helming 2011's Thor.
- Having moved from its original Christmas slot, the slower winter season could benefit the film if older crowds show up.
- Will audiences care to see a Jack Ryan reboot, more than a decade after Ben Affleck briefly took the reigns from Harrison Ford?
- Chris Pine proven to be a box office draw on his own.
- The January release could also speak to a lack of confidence in the movie.
- The crowded weekend of wide openers.
- Kevin Hart is in the middle of surging popularity, recently evidenced by Let Me Explain and 2012's Think Like a Man.
- Ice Cube also has a solid box office history, including his recent supporting turn in 21 Jump Street.
- Comedies can play well this time of year. See Identity Thief.
- Are audiences willing to see Hart as a leading man?
- Ice Cube's past successes were released quite some time ago.
- Horror flicks generally have a more positive recent history than horror sequels.
- The Devil Inside opened to strong numbers back in January 2012.
- Will audiences go in for another horror movie one week after Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones?
- The lack of star names or drawing power.
The Nut Job
- This will be the first animation offering for kids and families since November's Frozen.
- Gnomeo & Juliet surprised many in the industry with its performance back in early 2011.
- The film marks distributor Open Road's first foray into the animation genre.
- Since mid-summer 2013, audiences have seemingly burned out on animation (recently shown by Free Birds' underwhelming debut).
Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (down), Black Nativity (down), Oldboy (down) and Justin Bieber's Believe (down).
Check out our forecast for these and other upcoming films in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||First Weekend of Wide Release||Cumulative|
|Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit||Jan 17, 2014||Paramount
|Devil's Due||Jan 17, 2014||Fox
|Ride Along||Jan 17, 2014||Universal
|The Nut Job||Jan 17, 2014||Open Road
|Hercules: The Legend Begins||Jan 10, 2014||Lionsgate / Summit
|Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones||Jan 3, 2014||Paramount
|Lone Survivor||Dec 27, 2013||Universal
|The Wolf of Wall Street||Dec 25, 2013||Paramount
|47 Ronin||Dec 25, 2013||Universal
|Justin Bieber's Believe||Dec 25, 2013||Open Road
|The Secret Life of Walter Mitty||Dec 25, 2013||Fox
|Grudge Match||Dec 25, 2013||Warner Bros.
|Walking With Dinosaurs||Dec 20, 2013||Fox
|Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues||Dec 20, 2013||Paramount
|Her (2013)||Dec 18, 2013||Warner Bros.
|The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug||Dec 13, 2013||Warner Bros. / New Line
|Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas||Dec 13, 2013||Lionsgate
|American Hustle||Dec 13, 2013||Sony / Columbia
|Saving Mr. Banks||Dec 13, 2013||Disney
|Out of the Furnace||Dec 4, 2013||Relativity Media
Frozen: $41 million/$190 million*
Homefront: $8.5 million/$23 million*
Black Nativity: $8 million/$24 million*
Oldboy: $4 million/$15 million*
* = 3-day weekend (Fri-Sun)
** = 4-day weekend (Fri-Mon)
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.