Long Range Forecast: 'Identity Thief' & 'Side Effects'

Featured Stories - on December 15, 2012 by BOXOFFICE Staff

feb8.pngOur Long Range Forecast has been updated this week with two new films scheduled for release on Friday, February 8, 2013: Identity Thief and Side Effects.

Identity Thief

PROS:

- The combination of Jason Bateman and Melissa McCarthy.
- Director Seth Gordon is hot off the success of Horrible Bosses, The King of Kong and Four Christmases

CONS:

- Following a couple of comedies in January could lessen demand for another one so early in February.
- Bateman and McCarthy are still growing as a leading actor/actress draws which could result in a slower start for this one. 

Side Effects

PROS:

- Even in a supporting role, its hard to bet against Channing Tatum right now.
- Director Steven Soderbergh is coming off the success of Magic Mike and 2011's Contagion

CONS:

- The nature of the film could result in more back-loading than a big opening.
- Leading lady Rooney Mara isn't a box office draw yet, though her growing presence in well-received films like The Social Network and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo won't hurt this one either.

Notable changes on our forecast this week include The Guilt Trip, Monsters, Inc. 3D, Jack Reacher, This Is 40, Cirque du Soleil: Worlds Away, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Parental Guidance and Texas Chainsaw 3D.

Check out the table below for our predictions on these and other upcoming films.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Identity Thief Feb 8, 2013 Universal
$19,000,000 $62,000,000
Side Effects (2013) Feb 8, 2013 Open Road
$21,000,000 $65,000,000
Bullet to the Head Feb 1, 2013 Warner Bros.
$8,000,000 $20,000,000
Warm Bodies Feb 1, 2013 Lionsgate / Summit
$19,000,000 $50,000,000
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters Jan 25, 2013 Paramount
$13,000,000 $30,000,000
Parker Jan 25, 2013 FilmDistrict
$10,000,000 $27,000,000
Movie 43 Jan 25, 2013 Relativity Media
$15,000,000 $40,000,000
Broken City Jan 18, 2013 Fox
$20,000,000* $48,000,000
Mama Jan 18, 2013 Universal
$17,000,000* $37,000,000
The Last Stand Jan 18, 2013 Lionsgate
$15,000,000* $33,000,000
Zero Dark Thirty
A Haunted House
Jan 11, 2013 (wide)
Jan 11, 2013 
Sony / Columbia
Open Road
$13,000,000
$11,000,000
$55,000,000
$28,000,000
Gangster Squad Jan 11, 2013 Warner Bros.
$16,000,000 $47,000,000
Texas Chainsaw 3D Jan 4, 2013 Lionsgate
$18,000,000 $35,000,000
Parental Guidance Dec 25, 2012 Fox
$8,000,000 $32,000,000
Django Unchained Dec 25, 2012 Weinstein Company
$27,000,000 $110,000,000
Les Miserables (2012) Dec 25, 2012 Universal
$26,000,000 $130,000,000
Cirque du Soleil: Worlds Away Dec 21, 2012 Paramount
$4,000,000 $20,000,000
Jack Reacher Dec 21, 2012 Paramount
$13,000,000 $70,000,000
This is 40
The Guilt Trip
Monsters, Inc. 3D 
Dec 21, 2012
Dec 19, 2012 
Dec 19, 2012 
Universal
Paramount
Disney 

$13,000,000
$6,000,000 
$7,000,000 

$75,000,000
$38,000,000 
$35,000,000 

* = Four-day weekend

Shawn Robbins, Daniel Garris, Phil Contrino and Alex Edghill contributed to this report.

Tags: Side Effects, Identity Thief

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